Originally Posted by
Witton Park
But it doesn't.
Having voted leave, there are 3 possible outcomes.
1. We Leave with a plan something like Theresa May has outlined.
2. The EU do not want to work out a deal and so we revert to a WTO system.
3. The EU surprise us with a deal to try and encourage us to stay in the Internal Market and/or the Customs Union.
No one seems to consider point 3.
The MPs and other advocates of Remain talk as if it is the May deal (which they don't like) or a "cliff edge" of WTO.
But the Government has looked at some of the initial noises coming out of the EU and they were certainly indignant that the UK were discussing staying in the Internal Market despite leaving the EU.
The EU might want us in, particularly the Customs Union.
When the UK leaves the EU it loses close to 20% of it's GDP. That has consequences for some of the trade deals it has signed, particularly for agriculture.
It also loses it's 2nd biggest contributor to the budget.
So they may offer us something we aren't expecting.
My preference is for No2. I'd accept No1 as I think it would have wider appeal across the population and so settle the country down again.
No3 I doubt will happen, but I wouldn't rule it out entirely.