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  1. #131
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    Quote Originally Posted by noel View Post
    Really, which models? I'm not doubting it, I just think we keep discussing this and I'm still of the view of a net monetary benefit of the type of migration that the UK has had recently, whereas you're still of the view of a net deficit. We need some figures to discuss. Let's reconvene when one of us has had some time to do some searching on this.
    Yet you fail to address the point I make. The first problem migrants cost is accomodation. That costs serious money: indeed costs everyone serious money because of too much demand on restricted supply.

  2. #132
    Master DrPatrickBarry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Oracle View Post
    Yet you fail to address the point I make. The first problem migrants cost is accomodation. That costs serious money: indeed costs everyone serious money because of too much demand on restricted supply.
    Suppose the issue is you can build more houses, schools, hospitals, etc. but you can't make more people to fill vacant employment positions, unless we all start breeding more to make more babies.

  3. #133
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    Quote Originally Posted by noel View Post
    Really, which models? I'm not doubting it, I just think we keep discussing this and I'm still of the view of a net monetary benefit of the type of migration that the UK has had recently, whereas you're still of the view of a net deficit. We need some figures to discuss. Let's reconvene when one of us has had some time to do some searching on this.
    Noel a little while ago you eventually answered my persistent question: do you believe in an open border to the UK? You stated you didn't. If you really believe migration has been a monetary positive for the country why don't you support open borders?

  4. #134
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    https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.u...ion-in-the-uk/

    have a read. There are others but you have to be careful as some of the stuff out there is politically driven so makes more of a case one way or another.

    The research is lacking because of a variety of factors which include past Govt reluctance to monitor effectively, difficulty for accounting who is actually here due to freedom of movement eg. The applications for NI numbers is about double the migration figures.

    You see it's not as simple as saying Billy earns £20k and his partner works part-time and earns £6k. 2 kids in school. Tax from income is £3k and indirect taxes £5k and so they are contributors at the rate of £8k per year.

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/file?uri=/peo...esv3final.xlsx

    This is bloody complicated, but it does give you a taste of the average cost of a person to the state. Those tax receipts would not cover the cost of just education and health for an average person.

    Most of us in reality are a tax burden on the state, as we don't tend to become fiscally tax positive until we earn well above average household income.
    Richard Taylor
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  5. #135
    Quote Originally Posted by Oracle View Post
    Yet you fail to address the point I make.
    Well if Johnson is a yard stick I suggest that makes Noel eminently worthy PM material.

    My how we laughed when America elected Trump.
    "...as dry as the Atacama desert".

  6. #136
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    Quote Originally Posted by Graham Breeze View Post
    Well if Johnson is a yard stick I suggest that makes Noel eminently worthy PM material.

    My how we laughed when America elected Trump.
    What is really hilarious, is we do not even get a say in electing Britain's Donald Trump.

  7. #137
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrPatrickBarry View Post
    What is really hilarious, is we do not even get a say in electing Britain's Donald Trump.
    Why should you,or I, get a say or vote in who should be the leader of the Conservative Party. Are you a member? If not, and you want a vote, join the organisation.

    Would you be happy for the 50 million ish registered voters in the UK to vote for club positions at Pennine? Probably not and like other clubs/organisations only paid up members vote.

    Can you tell me when you have previously had a say or voted for a Prime Minister? I have never had the opportunity.
    Visibility good except in Hill Fog

  8. #138
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrPatrickBarry View Post
    What is really hilarious, is we do not even get a say in electing Britain's Donald Trump.
    I don't know why you think so. This just happens to be our constitution. We don't vote for a Prime minister as such. The Prime minister is the leader of the party that can command a majority in the House of Commons.

    There is a long history of new Prime ministers taking over without a general election. I.e Teresa May, Gordon Brown, John Major, Jim Callaghan, Alec Douglas-Home. What would be the reason to change this convention now?

    As it happens I expect there will be a general election by the autumn anyway since the Government doesn't have a working majority and because of the Brexit impasse.

  9. #139
    Master DrPatrickBarry's Avatar
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    I know it is the constitution, it is still hilarious to think a baboon like him will be leading the country.

  10. #140
    Moderator noel's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Graham Breeze View Post
    Well if Johnson is a yard stick I suggest that makes Noel eminently worthy PM material.
    Thank you for that backhanded compliment.

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