Thanks. So that's 48,000 deaths in the worse flu year in recent history. During winter (I'm assuming that's three calendar months) so that's about 530 excess deaths a day. Similar to where we've been over the past few weeks. But I'm hoping that's a peak that the lock-down will bring down.

While this is helpful in terms of perspective, I still don't think that is an argument against lock-down. It's only this low because of lock-downs. If you allowed a few more doublings, we'd be at 2000 deaths a day, then 4000... At what point would you act if you were the government?