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Thread: Coronavirus

  1. #3421
    You have to say that witton arguing covid on economic cost terms when he doesn’t give two hoots about the economic costs of brexit is playing a bit selective with economic cost

  2. #3422
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    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55041371

    leaving concerns about fake news blah, blah, blah to one side, I'm delighted to have been wrong about the possibility of a vaccine.

    At the same time, I am also pleased to note that my stance on knowing your own Covid score or risk so you can take personal responsibility is gaining traction:
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54251632
    I am Kuno....

  3. #3423
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    And, yes, I am fool enough to trust the BBC to put out true and verifiable stories...................
    I am Kuno....

  4. #3424
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    In some parts of the US, South Dakota to be specific, if 10 people get together, there is a 50% chance one of them has Covid. If people are selected randomly from the whole of the US, that number increases to 47 for the same 50% chance that one of them has it. We do know that indoors is high risk, especially if for a long time, close together, and if alcohol is involved - loud voices/shouting/singing.

    It would be interesting if there was a risk calculator for the UK - put in the number of people, where they are from, and see what the risk of a xmas get-together would be.

  5. #3425
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike T View Post
    In some parts of the US, South Dakota to be specific, if 10 people get together, there is a 50% chance one of them has Covid. If people are selected randomly from the whole of the US, that number increases to 47 for the same 50% chance that one of them has it. We do know that indoors is high risk, especially if for a long time, close together, and if alcohol is involved - loud voices/shouting/singing.

    It would be interesting if there was a risk calculator for the UK - put in the number of people, where they are from, and see what the risk of a xmas get-together would be.
    They dare not do one for fear of upsetting the usual suspects.

    On the News tonight they were reporting that they are still trying to work out why Leicester has been hit so hard and been in almost permanent lockdown!
    Visibility good except in Hill Fog

  6. #3426
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    Ah but there was WW1 on as well in 1918, soo shutting UK industry down wasnÂ’t practical.

  7. #3427
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    Latest stats for CV deaths by date of death.

    UK - peaked 12th November and dropping.

    England - peaked 12th November and dropping.

    Scotland - peaked 11th November and dropping.

    Wales - peaked 8th November and dropping

    NI - levelled off 14th November - too soon to tell which way it's going.

    Wales started their "firebreak" at 6pm Friday 23rd October so the reduction in deaths was too early to be as a consequence of the closure.

    England went in to National Lockdown 2 on November 5th, so we shouldn't see any consequential change in the fatality rate until December.

    England did have the Tier system from October 14th, but only Liverpool had Tier 3 and the peak positive tests was 9th October and they had dropped 20% by the time Tier 3 was set in place and by 50% before the Tier 3 imposition could have had any effect.

    Mike Yeadon - mid October.
    In each of these regional outbreaks (which by the way, are continuations at lower levels of the primary event, interrupted mostly by summer weather and perhaps partly by restrictions), I expect within a few weeks that the effects will crest and begin to decline. And then, nationally, it will be over. This does appear to be happening in Spain already (OWID).

    It appears he was correct and in another week or so we will probably know for sure.
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  8. #3428
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    " And then, nationally, it will be over."

    If only!

  9. #3429
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fellbeast View Post
    You have to say that witton arguing covid on economic cost terms when he doesn’t give two hoots about the economic costs of brexit is playing a bit selective with economic cost
    I think this thread is uneconomic, the emissions are way out.
    Can't climb for toffee...

  10. #3430
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    Latest stats for CV deaths by date of death.

    UK - peaked 12th November and dropping.

    England - peaked 12th November and dropping.

    Scotland - peaked 11th November and dropping.

    Wales - peaked 8th November and dropping


    Those stats for Wales are wrong already, from 5 hours ago:. Deaths involving Covid-19 have risen again in Wales to the highest weekly total since early May.
    Don't roll with a pig in poo. You get covered in poo and the pig likes it.

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