Brexit

[Oracle]

I think there is a different way flowing out of 2, as I think they WA will go down.

May will have to go, perhaps tonight. A stand in PM will have to ask for a short extension, which the EU might oppose, but I think they will allow an extra month or so.

Tory leadership contest.

General Election.

It could be done by early June.

If it delivers a Tory majority we will probably have a no deal Brexit and then some side deals and further talks.

If it delivers a Labour majority, as things stand we will leave but as part of a Customs Union. I suspect that it might mean we Remain as they will drift to that position if a GE happens.

If it delivers a hung Parliament, we are back to square one of course.

But I think as the last election more or less neutralised Brexit by the Tory and Labour parties standing on the same manifesto, at the next GE there will be clear water between them and it would be much more a Brexit General Election.

I do not see why May should Go: it isnt her deal, it is the EUs nonsense and she is not obliged to stand down under party rules. Her offer was conditional on the deal accepted.

In any confidence vote I expect the indy group to support her: It is far too early for them to hope they can get reelected at a GE. They will want to bide their time. Since Corbyn is a republican terrorist loving thug, no way will DUP ever vote with him, indeed will vote with May. A general election solves nothing for brexit except in labour office wishful thinking. I can imagine the jewish community will also have their say against corbyn.