Coronavirus

[Oracle]

I'd love the cytokine theory to be true in this instance but it is far, far to early to speculate on that. The main reason coronavirus is not yet ripping through many poorer countires, at least those in Africa, si simply that it arrived here about 4-6 weeks later than in Euope. We're simply behind the curve. And when it did arrive, it was among the elite - those who can afford to travel to Europe. And they live in similar conditions to people in much of Europe - clean, healthy. It's not yet hitting poorer areas in significant ways. And yet, even in the elitie communities, the mortality rate is far higher than in Europe.
Of course, that may be skewed by testing and reporting problems. If European countries can't do it adequately, what hope in countries lacking resources, infrastructure, etc? The flip side of that is that there may already be thousands of cases, even deaths, simply going unnoticed and unreported, especially in poorer communities.

As I say, I really hope the cytokine theory kicks in because otherwise there may be something resembling carnage in the communities around me, but we won't know for at least another month.

Thanks for the info.
It’s only a possibility. As you say, too early to say.

One problem of course is trustworthiness of sources.
But whilst China now has a substantial new middle class born of globalised manufacturing success, it also has a far bigger but desperately poor subsistence level population too.

Since China didn’t lock down early enough it must have spread to those communities, but we don’t hear of mass deaths in them. But does anyone trust their media?

If anyone wants to see fiction in stats, just look at the Iranian figures. Perfectly smooth curves unlike anywhere else. Methinks the mullahs are composing next months figures as we speak! They store them in the safe with next years election results.