It does make you wonderOriginally Posted by molehill
https://www.freepressjournal.in/worl...k-as-underwear
It does make you wonder
https://www.freepressjournal.in/worl...k-as-underwear
Richard Taylor
"William Tell could take an apple off your head. Taylor could take out a processed pea."
Sid Waddell
Indeed...but what exactly?
where to pin my race number next timeIndeed...but what exactly?
Richard Taylor
"William Tell could take an apple off your head. Taylor could take out a processed pea."
Sid Waddell
When 91% of "neighbourhoods" haven't had a case of COVID reported in 4 weeks.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-new...covid-22568255
it makes you wonder why there are many entities acting as if we were still in March/April.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...struggled.html
I cam imagine some of our forumites have already read the 2nd piece.
Richard Taylor
"William Tell could take an apple off your head. Taylor could take out a processed pea."
Sid Waddell
Over 1,000 new positive tests a day on average, and rising slowly but surely - the true number of new cases will be several times this. "Only" 4 deaths announced today, but these are only the deaths within 28 days, and it is a Monday - the true total is now jolly hard to find. But it has not gone away - it is mainly those under 35 becoming infected now, hence the low death rate, but it will leak into the older and more vulnerable groups, and deaths will rise. Even in Denmark, where they were jolly strict when schools re-opened (masks, no more than 12 pupils per teacher, staggered start times, dedicated classrooms and playground space, out door teaching whenever possible, no parents on school property, no buses/trains unless absolutely necessary) - the R rose. There is no evidence the virus has become weaker, and with few exceptions, for example parts of New York, herd immunity has yet to play a role.
Good to see the usual high level material used here. Professor John Clancy reported in the Mirror. Any idea what he's a professor of?
It's not epidemiology or pandemics...
https://www.bcu.ac.uk/centre-for-bre...am/john-clancy
Over 1,000 positive test a day on average.
31/5 1916 was the 7 day average for England
30/6 749 7 day average
31/7 787 and by 21/8 we had an increase to 1059 (14th was a biggy) if you check in a couple of days it should be back down again.
However, the 7 day case average has risen a little.
Testing 7 day average on the same dates was
31/5 was 103,700k
30/6 was 132,800k
31/7 was 163,100k
and it's now 172k
So positive tests as a % of tests completed has gone from 0.018% to 0.006% or about 1/3 of the hit rate back in May/June.
"the true number of new cases will be several times this" absolutely Mike, and we can only imagine what the number would have been had we this level of testing back in March. Maybe 20,000 a day positive, maybe many more.
Richard Taylor
"William Tell could take an apple off your head. Taylor could take out a processed pea."
Sid Waddell
positive tests as a % of tests completed is misleading as it takes no account of people who have been tested multiple times.
There is absolutely no doubt that new infections are currently low. Seems like lockdown worked.
There is also little doubt that there are fewer deaths per positive tests. The answer to that one is debatable and there is currently no agreement as to why.
Few deaths is surely good news.
If it drops to none or as low as flu it should be business as normal.
Covid deaths have already fallen way below the level of flu deaths. The ONS does a weekly report and analyse deaths on the basis of what is mentioned on the death certificate. In their latest report which covers the week to 7th August 1.7% of all deaths mention Covid-19 . 13% mention “flu and pneumonia”, Covid-19 or both. So even though there is some double counting I.e where the death certificate mentions both, it is clear that flu deaths are now way more than Covid deaths.
