Quote Originally Posted by Muddy Retriever View Post
I think I read that the average time lag between covid infection and death is about three weeks. According to PHE 88% of Covid deaths occur within 28 days of the first positive specimen date.

The average number of cases over the last week was 3,050, which is 41% up on the previous week (1,812). That had been 31% up on the week before that (1,244).

We should therefore start seeing what effect this increase in positive tests has over the next couple of weeks.
That's just based on the current national trend of positive cases.

We had "spikes" in 4 of the constituencies covered by East Lancashire Healthcare Trust Blackburn, Hyndburn, Burnley and Pendle.
Those date back to July with Blackburn announcing measures on 14th July, after 2 weeks of rising positive tests.

So whether it's 3 weeks, 28 days, or up to 8 weeks, East Lancashire Healthcare Trust should have seen a rise in admissions in August and a rise in deaths by now.

They haven't. So why?

The authorities aren't coming up with an explanation. In fact they aren't even attempting to.