I'm raising questions not providing answers Graham.
I had a discussion with an IEA guy Chris Snowdon (regular TV and radio pundit) almost 2 years ago about lockdowns, timing of them, benefit of them.
We were also discussing the difficulty of real analysis because of "with covid" and he assured me that in a couple of years time we'll be able to see the full effect of the pandemic with regards to mortality as we'll see the peaks in excess deaths in 2020 & 2021 and then the drop off in those rates to below trend in 2022 and 2023 before a rebalance to trend.
It seemed fair enough.
There hasn't been a drop off though.
See link.
and you can see all ages and then break down by age. Turquoise is excess deaths.
Since Spring 2022 there has hardly been a week without excess deaths. In fact if you look at 0-24 the situation is worse over the last 18 months than the previous 18 months.
What is causing it?
100s of young people dying when compared to trend.
So I'm asking why. I have an idea but what concerns me is for so long we had a daily count up of deaths in the UK and now when it is worse in almost all age groups of working age, grasshoppers.
No expert, just the figures and something is seriously wrong.