Pollsters are struggling.

One poll out tonight suggests Labour 35, Reform 24, Tory 15 from the same outfit that first reported a Tory vote collapse in May.

Another as Reform on zero seats, Tories only 55.

Pick the bones out of that

Gut feeling.

Labour 38% and a 150+ majority.

Tories 15% and maybe 80-100

LibDems maybe 12-13% and 50-60

Reform 24% and 10-15 seats.