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I find it really interesting to look at the breakdown of the opinion polls published by the Economist. No editorial slant, just the numbers.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/graph...-eu-referendum
It allows you to break down all of those polled by categories.
It's fascinating.
Short summary, in general, Labour & Lib Dems vote Remain, UKIP vote Leave, and the party whose supporters most accurately reflect the general public on this issue is the Conservatives. I didn't see that coming.
The North wants to leave (just), the South wants to stay (just) ..... which is probably a reflection of:
The rich want to stay and the poor want to leave. I suspect that there's a fair amount of "I'm doing alright at the moment so I'm voting with the status quo" going on in people's heads. Fear of the unknown and "better the devil you know".
Scotland wants to remain and Wales wants to leave. Of all things, this is what worries me the most. I have an awful feeling that this is going to go to the wire and it will be rural Scotland/Wales that tips the balance one way or the other. Remain or Leave, I think the internal constitutional arrangements of the UK will be revisited a lot sooner than anyone imagined.
Women and men are equally split. Good. It should reflect the general population.
The young want to remain and the old want to leave. I find this the most interesting of all. I have no explanations for this one. Anyone?
The other good link for looking at details is the British Election Study map of likely vote totals in different areas.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news...ote-eu-8258198
In summary, the bigger the city, the greater the remain vote ....... in conjunction with the Rich/Poor stats from the polls, clearly our cities aren't the pit of urban poverty that they're usually made out to be.
What does it say about us fellrunners ....... the flattest part of the country (The Fens) has the largest remain vote. Lakeland slightly tips towards Leave and the Dales are split down the middle.
Whatever your viewpoint, no vote is a wasted vote today so get out and vote.
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