Quote Originally Posted by Mike T View Post
The 28 day cut off is clearly missing quite a few deaths. The non 28 day figure is hard to find. I wonder why?
So this is referring back to the discussion you had with MR a few days ago - I see. I'll leave it to you guys

I'd only say I'm concerned about the interpretation of the number of cases being detected. I'm in one of the areas that was identified as having a spike.

That supposed spike was way back in early July and we got the testing teams in, so they found more and it led to local restrictions as we know.

But there has been no resulting hospitalisation and the COVID ward is empty, and it covers the whole of East Lancs which have also had enhanced measures. Some areas along the M65 are still under those measures.

In other areas and other countries where they have also identified spikes the hospitals also seem unaffected.

In England, the number of COVID patients in hospital have gone from

1/4 11540 (Peaked 17172 on 12/4)
1/5 10970
1/6 5358
1/7 2289
1/8 809
1/9 472

So are these spikes really genuine, active, live COVID infections, or are they detecting residual viral fragments from early in the pandemic?