If that's correct then fair enough.
But there are still a few things the don't add up for me.
1. Why has it suddenly increased so much? Apparently in the week before the 10pm curfew was announced pubs and restaurants were only contributing 3% of new cases, down from 5% the week before. Perhaps it's the daft curfew rule itself, which has led to lots of people being chucked out at the same time!
2. Why is the increase in infections not more uniform across the country? Pubs are everywhere after all.
3. Why did Sheffield's new cases triple in a week? They've had their pubs open for a few months so why such an impact now?