Quote Originally Posted by Fellbeast View Post
Simple answer, I haven't a clue

Maybe part of the answer is that the national lockdown, both going in and coming out, was too London centric? There were perhaps relatively few real cases in the north in February/March but, by the time lockdown was ending, covid was still knocking around, albeit in small pockets. For sure by then there were a lot of the public really thirsty for the pub, with a fair few of them I'm guessing (up north) never really experiencing much in the way of friends and family getting covid in the first place. So you then have a bunch of drinkers, many a bit too relaxed and/or sceptical about covid, with not much of the wider population (up north) having had exposure to covid, all starting to socialise and lose social distancing after a few. And then the fast accelerating compound interest of covid takes over?
I think it's at least partially to do with people not self-isolating or taking precautions like social distancing etc. But it is weirdly patchy. Lack of a decent track and trace system doesn't help, but even if fully working, would still rely on the honesty and intergrity of those asked to self isolate doing so. Certainly not helped by Trump's latest shenanigans.

Apparently we're 10 days away from ICUs reaching a critical stage.....