Coronavirus

[Fellbeast]

What attracted most surprise was the way Valance presented his figures last month. Commentators sympathetic to the Government position seemed astonished. The exponential increase he alluded to just wasn't there as we can see from the figures.
200 deaths a day isn't anything to be pleased about, but that is par for an Autumn flu season. We had 28k over 2014/15 season not sure if they were of flu, or with flu.
Is there anyone on this forum suggesting an Autumn shutdown is in order every time admissions for respiratory conditions increase to levels over 1,000 a week?

These statistics are pretty good - the weekly death rate in England and Wales for most of the year (based on the average for the years 2014 through to 2019) seems to be about 10,000 with this rising to a high of c 15,000 over a normal winter. In March, April and May though the normal 10,000 average went through the roof reaching a peak of about 23,000 pw. That can be attributed to Covid and was squashed by the total lockdown. Deaths though now are starting to rise again and, if there was any lesson to be gained from the first lockdown, surely its not to dilly dally about.

I personally really hope what is being done at the minute proves to be just about good enough, with no further lockdowns or firebreak lockdowns, but its a really tough call to get right and, based on the existing government's record, its hard to have any confidence in them getting it right this time either