Coronavirus

[Muddy Retriever]

Thanks WP. I wasn't paying much attention to this thread back then.

The high point of deaths was April 14th, looking at the 7-day moving average: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/

Which is about 4 weeks from the start of what I agree was "lock-down light", but quickly phased into full lock-down a few days later.

Are you suggesting rates would have come down anyway without lock-down?

Worldometer shows deaths by reporting date, which is fair enough if you want to make a comparison between countries. But as with cases, there is a lag between actual and reporting dates.

The peak date in the UK for when deaths actually occurred was 8th April.UK deaths by actual date.JPG

It is also the same date if you look at England on its own.

Perhaps lockdown hastened the speed that infections reduced. But it does seem that infections had started falling before lockdown.