Coronavirus

[Oracle]

I think I saw a test imply 10 percent have it, which I am guessing means at least another 10-15 have already had it, and with another 5 assymptomatic ( because they say 17 percent are totally assymptomatic) that could already be 30 percent even. So It may Already be significant. I think early symptom guides implying high temperature caused many people to be uncertain. Portugal I think has such numbers even if we don’t.

Already 30 percent would drops an infection rate of each case infecting 2 others down to only 1.4 so immunity effects would already be noticeable in slowing it down.

But who knows? If I have a major criticism it is the lack of a website symptom reporter for those isolating. Sure there is one now, but it doesn’t allow me to report what I had, only what I have.

Those critical of the testing, should listen to what Hancock says: the tests they tried to validate weren’t reliable, it is not a fast process. Spain got caught with a test only 30 percent accurate. The normal process even when on fast track takes months not days.
Journalists should back off, they are helping nobody.

Lots think they have had it - even before it had escaped from China. One guesstimate I have seen is 3% in the UK. We don't know. As to the different incidences - and deaths - in different countries, it does of course depend on how many you test, and how good the test is. If the test is not close to 100% accurate, with a condition that is relatively uncommon in the community, you get far more more false positives than true positives.
As the deaths are climbing, I think it is safe to say the underlying incidence is also climbing - so however many have had it, there has not yet been enough of them for herd immunity to have any beneficial effect.