Quote Originally Posted by Witton Park View Post
That's just based on the current national trend of positive cases.

We had "spikes" in 4 of the constituencies covered by East Lancashire Healthcare Trust Blackburn, Hyndburn, Burnley and Pendle.
Those date back to July with Blackburn announcing measures on 14th July, after 2 weeks of rising positive tests.

So whether it's 3 weeks, 28 days, or up to 8 weeks, East Lancashire Healthcare Trust should have seen a rise in admissions in August and a rise in deaths by now.

They haven't. So why?

The authorities aren't coming up with an explanation. In fact they aren't even attempting to.
Why do you think that is? Could it be age profile?

It could be as Dave Mole said that social distancing and face covering are reducing the viral load. So while these measures aren't always preventing infection they are enough in some cases for people to become less ill. I guess you might counter that a lot of the people getting infected in East Lancashire are neither observing social distancing not wearing face coverings.