Too true - and if you take the 1 case day 1, 4 case day 6, 16 cases day 11..... you end up with just over 14 million cases Day 61 (accumulative 20 million)Originally Posted by Fellbeast
That is though the magical scary power of exponential growth. The old fable of the inventor of chess being rewarded by the king of the day with anything he wanted. And all he asked for was one grain of rice on the first square of his chessboard, two on the second, four on the third until all 64 squares were filled. Which the king immediately agreed too, thinking it a cheap deal. The thing is though once you're into the second half of the chessboard things go bonkers. There are over 18 quintillion grains of rice on a chessboard, whatever the heck that number is. Thats doubling the number one 63 times
That sort of R=4 exponential growth without any measures would have taken us to early - mid March just before lockdown and to the point when the virus would have started running out of people to infect and start a natural decline.
Perhaps it did?
