More evidence that the lockdown advice was incorrect here:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...d-overwhelmed/
"Scientific advisers wrongly suggested that the NHS Nightingale hospitals would be overwhelmed by mid-November when Boris Johnson was persuaded to trigger a second coronavirus lockdown.

A document shown to the Prime Minister at the end of last month projected that hospitals in the South-West and North-West would be swamped by this point – but hospitals in the two regions are not full, and the Nightingale hospitals have not so far been needed........

A Cabinet Office analysis of hospital bed occupancy was shown to the Prime Minister in the days before he rushed out an announcement of the second national lockdown following a high-profile leak. It said that "on the current trajectory" the NHS would not be able to accept any more patients by Christmas week, and that the South-West and North-West would be the first areas to run out of capacity.

The graphic suggested the South-West would have "exceeded surge capacity, including Nightingale capacity" by November 14, with the North-West in the same situation a day later.

Crucially, the graph claimed it would take three weeks for a lockdown to have "any impact on hospital admissions", meaning the latest lockdown, which has been in place for less than a fortnight, cannot be the reason the projection has proved to be wrong."