Coronavirus

[Wetherby whaler]

Probably a good time to compare how the actual figures are doing against the four "scenarios" that were presented on 31st October as part of the justification for lockdown in England.

Seven day average figures to 17th November:

University of Warwick = 541
University of Cambridge/PHE = 2,409
Imperial College London = 890
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 701

See Data to accompany slides presented by Chief Scientific Advisor
https://www.gov.uk/government/public...1-october-2020

Actual for England by reporting date = 354

So actual figures much lower than the most optimistic scenario.

Here it is in a nice graphic, under the “National” tab. The thick black line bumping along the bottom is what is actually happening and the huge coloured peaks are what was predicted. Naturally subject to revision as data becomes available.

https://data.spectator.co.uk/city/national