Probably a good time to compare how the actual figures are doing against the four "scenarios" that were presented on 31st October as part of the justification for lockdown in England.Originally Posted by Witton Park
You started it with the 30% False negative
So the cases were the lowest for 2 weeks.
As for the deaths, people die, 11,812 in England and Wales last week declared, week 46.
It's extraordinary that when it happened in 2015 and 2018 from flu, we didn't hear a dicky-bird.
https://www.pulsetoday.co.uk/news/ur...ths-last-year/
Seven day average figures to 17th November:
University of Warwick = 541
University of Cambridge/PHE = 2,409
Imperial College London = 890
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 701
See Data to accompany slides presented by Chief Scientific Advisor
https://www.gov.uk/government/public...1-october-2020
Actual for England by reporting date = 354
So actual figures much lower than the most optimistic scenario.
