Quote Originally Posted by Muddy Retriever View Post
All four scenario's are worse than actual and will probably end up being far worse. Actual deaths for November could easily have been more accurately predicted for the whole of November when they made the presentation because they already had the infection figures at that point
You're right. So why do we think they got it wrong. Were they erring on the side of caution after having acted too slowly in the last wave? Or do you think they were over-egging it in order to justify what they thought we needed (ie, a second lock-down).