Quote Originally Posted by Stolly View Post
Ipsos Mori had the 2017 snap election as a shoe in for the conservatives when it was called WP so it’s still all to play for. I still have no idea how they get reliable polling especially on their telephone polls. I mean how many people actually use their land lines anymore or are in to take calls.... apart from elderly Tory voters of course ��
yes, when it was called May hadn't launched the Dementia Tax, and refused to get involved in the TV debates.

In the local elections only 4 weeks prior, Tories 38% and labour 27%.

But as I mentioned in an earlier post, I can't see Johnson having anything like as bad a campaign as May and I can't see Corbyn getting away with promising the earth to everyone unchallenged, and his Brexit policy is nuts.

So yes, I accept a campaign can change things, and pollsters have a track record to live down to, but if the current polling average above is anything like election night, we'll see a swing to Tories from Labour.

The LibDens could be in real trouble. The polls are definitely going the wrong way for them. They seem to have become as much a single issue party as the Brexit Party with left and right coming together under the banner of bollocks.

Consider that around half their MPs are defectors. Can you really see Sandbach winning in Eddisbury, Angela Smith (who's moved constituency) unseating Graham Brady? Luciana Berger in a Liverpool seat? Philip Lee the ex Tory in Bracknell.

Even Swinson is vulnerable. She lost her seat in 2015.